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In every U.S. presidential election in modern times, America's friends and allies have had their private preferences.There is between Trump and Clinton.To the rest of the world, Clinton represents continuity, and Trump means dramatic change. Just how dramatic cannot be known, but the normal assumption that candidates play to their party's core supporters during the primary season but then tack to the center for the general election cannot be relied on in Trump's case. Trump declared in that speech that he wants the United States to be "predictably unpredictable," but he also made it clear that he won't abandon his basic position.So how can friends and allies prepare for a President Trump?A weak Japan and a fractious collection of 28 countries in the European Union would be a tempting target for President Trump.To avoid being pushed around by Trump over trade or security, members of the EU and NATO must be prepared to stick together. That may mean being ready to spend more on their own defense – a demand by Trump that is not unreasonable. America's friends and allies need to start preparing for a less friendly America.
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